Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 10.712519 12.229407 13.890732 15.846329 18.086825 20.575285 23.551324
2026-01-18 8.392248 10.315777 12.586284 15.467986 19.034219 23.310987 28.841806
2026-01-25 7.057602 9.142513 11.738051 15.214234 19.760602 25.522035 33.406017
2026-02-01 6.106272 8.257684 11.055581 14.972402 20.334234 27.446640 37.647214
2026-02-08 5.370121 7.537368 10.464506 14.722886 20.788507 29.161622 41.674115
2026-02-15 4.777700 6.932061 9.941730 14.473496 21.162651 30.733246 45.574861
2026-02-22 4.534079 6.784696 10.029228 15.074051 22.772644 34.163223 52.452162
2026-03-01 4.227689 6.507664 9.890669 15.308402 23.833551 36.843483 58.415051
2026-03-08 3.889893 6.146384 9.585123 15.245003 24.408602 38.801391 63.392305
2026-03-15 3.581000 5.798805 9.264318 15.117024 24.850471 40.559091 68.169511
2026-03-22 3.441496 5.707099 9.334450 15.615806 26.338672 44.108544 76.218878
2026-03-29 3.296566 5.591637 9.352037 16.020797 27.691973 47.528352 84.334352
2026-04-05 3.177781 5.512986 9.428401 16.539487 29.298929 51.541406 93.923966
2026-04-12 2.913043 5.160239 9.009458 16.156605 29.281259 52.706128 98.461750
2026-04-19 2.694797 4.870503 8.674788 15.890838 29.441940 54.185863 103.692853
2026-04-26 2.499990 4.606526 8.363542 15.637931 29.596682 55.652528 109.009640
2026-05-03 2.322417 4.359623 8.062957 15.376981 29.707395 57.032604 114.262028
2026-05-10 2.161041 4.130102 7.776083 15.116170 29.790689 58.355198 119.500293
2026-05-17 2.127176 4.141019 7.941207 15.744238 31.672103 63.343428 132.685937
2026-05-24 2.047661 4.056391 7.915533 15.989336 32.798540 66.905569 143.202093
2026-05-31 1.937897 3.903139 7.743676 15.923029 33.275456 69.171067 151.133389
2026-06-07 1.829121 3.743624 7.547275 15.789182 33.596403 71.129862 158.559214
2026-06-14 1.796100 3.737115 7.659426 16.310843 35.357623 76.287368 173.612748